NROY Deep Dive: Combined Wave 1 + Wave 2

Single-seed vs 10-seed comparison  |  Design B (geography frozen)  |  Generated 2026-07-06 11:11

2/6
W1 STPM pass (10-seed)
22/30
W2 STPM pass (10-seed)
14
W2 STPM + Jackson (10-seed)
18.1
Best Q_STPM (10-seed)

Summary: Single vs Multi-Seed Comparison

WaveDesignQ (1-seed)Q (10-seed)Δ JacksonPrev Δ
W1design_9924 20.418.1 -2.3 FAIL +0.01
W2design_2564 33.122.9 -10.2 PASS +0.01
W2design_0573 27.224.8 -2.4 PASS +0.00
W2design_2589 29.824.9 -4.9 FAIL +0.01
W2design_7316 26.125.2 -0.9 FAIL +0.00
W2design_6781 30.426.7 -3.7 PASS -0.00
W2design_1976 32.526.8 -5.7 PASS +0.01
W2design_9701 28.527.7 -0.9 PASS +0.00
W2design_6630 32.627.9 -4.7 PASS -0.00
W2design_0421 26.128.0 +1.8 FAIL +0.01
W2design_3461 30.528.3 -2.2 PASS -0.00
W2design_8136 19.529.0 +9.5 PASS -0.00
W2design_5905 32.229.6 -2.6 PASS +0.01
W2design_7621 33.429.6 -3.8 PASS +0.00
W2design_4213 34.129.9 -4.2 FAIL +0.01
W2design_3988 33.829.9 -3.9 PASS +0.00
W1design_4669 31.831.0 -0.8 PASS +0.00
W2design_3318 26.432.1 +5.7 FAIL +0.02
W2design_7853 30.732.3 +1.6 FAIL +0.01
W2design_1756 31.032.5 +1.5 PASS -0.00
W2design_9009 29.133.2 +4.1 FAIL +0.02
W2design_7613 31.033.3 +2.3 FAIL +0.01
W2design_5872 27.933.5 +5.6 PASS -0.00
W2design_8640 25.434.0 +8.6 PASS -0.01
W2design_4369 29.935.0 +5.1 FAIL +0.01
W1design_0976 32.037.4 +5.4 PASS +0.00
W2design_1907 28.038.3 +10.2 FAIL +0.01
W2design_2883 34.340.0 +5.8 FAIL +0.00
W2design_2373 27.841.0 +13.2 FAIL -0.00
W2design_0137 33.842.5 +8.7 PASS -0.00
W2design_3590 31.042.6 +11.6 FAIL -0.02
W1design_6840 26.346.1 +19.7 PASS +0.00
W1design_9735 30.847.2 +16.4 PASS -0.00
W2design_7950 27.249.4 +22.3 PASS -0.02
W1design_4182 32.250.5 +18.3 FAIL +0.02
W2design_8229 32.052.6 +20.6 FAIL +0.01

Individual Candidate Deep Dives

Candidates below are sorted by multi-seed Q_STPM (best first). Each card shows the STPM subgroup fit (10-seed mean ± SD vs HSE targets) and prevalence trajectory (10-seed band). Click “Parameter values” to expand.

W1 · design_9924 Q=18.1 (PASS) Jackson FAIL   Prev +0.01 pp

1-seed10-seedΔ
Q_STPM20.418.1 -2.3
Parameter values
alpha0.9580
attempt.bias-3.7026
attempt.cSelfEfficacy.beta0.3102
attempt.mAgeGroup30To44.beta-0.1119
attempt.mAgeGroup45To64.beta-0.2470
attempt.mAgeGroup65Plus.beta-0.3604
attempt.mEnjoymentOfSmoking.beta-0.3328
attempt.mExpenditure.beta0.0028
attempt.mIntentionToQuit.beta0.1742
attempt.mNumberOfRecentQuitAttempts.beta0.3543
attempt.mUseOfNRT.beta0.4189
attempt.oNumberOfSmokersInSocialNetwork.beta0.0555
attempt.oPrevalenceOfSmokingInGeographicLocality.beta0.0000
attempt.oReceiptGPAdvice.beta0.0102
attempt.oSocialHousing.beta-0.2824
beta0.5664
lambda0.0451
maintenance.bias0.7611
maintenance.cAgeGroup30To44.beta0.0432
maintenance.cAgeGroup45To64.beta0.0572
maintenance.cAgeGroup65Plus.beta0.4981
maintenance.cAlcoholConsumptionGroupHigherRisk.beta0.3641
maintenance.cAlcoholConsumptionGroupIncreasingRisk.beta0.3110
maintenance.cAlcoholConsumptionGroupLowerRisk.beta-0.0117
maintenance.cCigAddictStrength.beta-0.1973
maintenance.cCigConsumptionPreQuit.beta-0.0106
maintenance.cCytisineUse.beta0.7325
maintenance.cECigUse.beta0.0811
maintenance.cEducationalLevelBelowDegree.beta0.2293
maintenance.cEducationalLevelDegreeOrHigher.beta0.0704
maintenance.cMentalHealthCondition.beta-0.5541
maintenance.cNumberOfRecentQuitAttempts.beta-0.2317
maintenance.cPrescriptionNRT.beta0.4988
maintenance.cUseOfBehaviouralSupport.beta0.1539
maintenance.cVareniclineUse.beta0.8455
maintenance.mNonSmokerSelfIdentity.beta1.1998
maintenance.oNumberOfSmokersInSocialNetwork.beta-0.0319
maintenance.oPrevalenceOfSmokingInGeographicLocality.beta0.0000
maintenance.oSEP.beta-0.6069
maintenance.oSocialHousing.beta-0.3961

W2 · design_2564 Q=22.9 (PASS) Jackson PASS   Prev +0.01 pp

1-seed10-seedΔ
Q_STPM33.122.9 -10.2
Parameter values
alpha2.0797
attempt.bias-3.7348
attempt.cSelfEfficacy.beta0.2687
attempt.mAgeGroup30To44.beta-0.2270
attempt.mAgeGroup45To64.beta-0.1135
attempt.mAgeGroup65Plus.beta-0.0608
attempt.mEnjoymentOfSmoking.beta-0.2554
attempt.mExpenditure.beta0.0022
attempt.mIntentionToQuit.beta0.1603
attempt.mNumberOfRecentQuitAttempts.beta0.3393
attempt.mUseOfNRT.beta0.1549
attempt.oNumberOfSmokersInSocialNetwork.beta-0.0784
attempt.oPrevalenceOfSmokingInGeographicLocality.beta0.0000
attempt.oReceiptGPAdvice.beta0.0503
attempt.oSocialHousing.beta-0.2393
beta0.4854
lambda0.0307
maintenance.bias0.7759
maintenance.cAgeGroup30To44.beta0.1315
maintenance.cAgeGroup45To64.beta0.2702
maintenance.cAgeGroup65Plus.beta0.2423
maintenance.cAlcoholConsumptionGroupHigherRisk.beta0.2562
maintenance.cAlcoholConsumptionGroupIncreasingRisk.beta0.4674
maintenance.cAlcoholConsumptionGroupLowerRisk.beta0.3835
maintenance.cCigAddictStrength.beta-0.1915
maintenance.cCigConsumptionPreQuit.beta-0.0248
maintenance.cCytisineUse.beta0.6344
maintenance.cECigUse.beta0.5123
maintenance.cEducationalLevelBelowDegree.beta-0.0917
maintenance.cEducationalLevelDegreeOrHigher.beta0.7363
maintenance.cMentalHealthCondition.beta0.0596
maintenance.cNumberOfRecentQuitAttempts.beta-0.1990
maintenance.cPrescriptionNRT.beta0.1663
maintenance.cUseOfBehaviouralSupport.beta0.0958
maintenance.cVareniclineUse.beta1.0601
maintenance.mNonSmokerSelfIdentity.beta0.6944
maintenance.oNumberOfSmokersInSocialNetwork.beta-0.1036
maintenance.oPrevalenceOfSmokingInGeographicLocality.beta0.0000
maintenance.oSEP.beta-0.0263
maintenance.oSocialHousing.beta-0.9017

W2 · design_0573 Q=24.8 (PASS) Jackson PASS   Prev +0.00 pp

1-seed10-seedΔ
Q_STPM27.224.8 -2.4
Parameter values
alpha1.2506
attempt.bias-4.1846
attempt.cSelfEfficacy.beta0.3031
attempt.mAgeGroup30To44.beta-0.1032
attempt.mAgeGroup45To64.beta-0.3043
attempt.mAgeGroup65Plus.beta-0.0275
attempt.mEnjoymentOfSmoking.beta-0.3436
attempt.mExpenditure.beta-0.0004
attempt.mIntentionToQuit.beta0.2295
attempt.mNumberOfRecentQuitAttempts.beta0.3370
attempt.mUseOfNRT.beta0.2963
attempt.oNumberOfSmokersInSocialNetwork.beta0.0446
attempt.oPrevalenceOfSmokingInGeographicLocality.beta0.0000
attempt.oReceiptGPAdvice.beta0.0758
attempt.oSocialHousing.beta-0.2904
beta0.6656
lambda0.0468
maintenance.bias1.2019
maintenance.cAgeGroup30To44.beta0.3286
maintenance.cAgeGroup45To64.beta0.4919
maintenance.cAgeGroup65Plus.beta0.3516
maintenance.cAlcoholConsumptionGroupHigherRisk.beta-0.2317
maintenance.cAlcoholConsumptionGroupIncreasingRisk.beta-0.3190
maintenance.cAlcoholConsumptionGroupLowerRisk.beta-0.1020
maintenance.cCigAddictStrength.beta-0.2606
maintenance.cCigConsumptionPreQuit.beta-0.0280
maintenance.cCytisineUse.beta0.9548
maintenance.cECigUse.beta0.5277
maintenance.cEducationalLevelBelowDegree.beta0.0898
maintenance.cEducationalLevelDegreeOrHigher.beta0.4464
maintenance.cMentalHealthCondition.beta-0.5679
maintenance.cNumberOfRecentQuitAttempts.beta-0.1276
maintenance.cPrescriptionNRT.beta0.4013
maintenance.cUseOfBehaviouralSupport.beta0.1990
maintenance.cVareniclineUse.beta0.9170
maintenance.mNonSmokerSelfIdentity.beta0.6439
maintenance.oNumberOfSmokersInSocialNetwork.beta0.0099
maintenance.oPrevalenceOfSmokingInGeographicLocality.beta0.0000
maintenance.oSEP.beta0.0567
maintenance.oSocialHousing.beta-0.5917

W2 · design_2589 Q=24.9 (PASS) Jackson FAIL   Prev +0.01 pp

1-seed10-seedΔ
Q_STPM29.824.9 -4.9
Parameter values
alpha1.6011
attempt.bias-3.8106
attempt.cSelfEfficacy.beta0.3538
attempt.mAgeGroup30To44.beta0.0515
attempt.mAgeGroup45To64.beta-0.0971
attempt.mAgeGroup65Plus.beta0.0130
attempt.mEnjoymentOfSmoking.beta-0.6616
attempt.mExpenditure.beta0.0011
attempt.mIntentionToQuit.beta0.2141
attempt.mNumberOfRecentQuitAttempts.beta0.3550
attempt.mUseOfNRT.beta0.4086
attempt.oNumberOfSmokersInSocialNetwork.beta0.0360
attempt.oPrevalenceOfSmokingInGeographicLocality.beta0.0000
attempt.oReceiptGPAdvice.beta0.0953
attempt.oSocialHousing.beta-0.5164
beta0.7011
lambda0.0345
maintenance.bias0.7213
maintenance.cAgeGroup30To44.beta0.3070
maintenance.cAgeGroup45To64.beta0.2980
maintenance.cAgeGroup65Plus.beta0.3206
maintenance.cAlcoholConsumptionGroupHigherRisk.beta0.5817
maintenance.cAlcoholConsumptionGroupIncreasingRisk.beta0.4234
maintenance.cAlcoholConsumptionGroupLowerRisk.beta-0.0670
maintenance.cCigAddictStrength.beta-0.2514
maintenance.cCigConsumptionPreQuit.beta-0.0137
maintenance.cCytisineUse.beta0.1604
maintenance.cECigUse.beta-0.0970
maintenance.cEducationalLevelBelowDegree.beta-0.4827
maintenance.cEducationalLevelDegreeOrHigher.beta0.3825
maintenance.cMentalHealthCondition.beta0.0326
maintenance.cNumberOfRecentQuitAttempts.beta-0.2185
maintenance.cPrescriptionNRT.beta0.1056
maintenance.cUseOfBehaviouralSupport.beta0.4383
maintenance.cVareniclineUse.beta0.4770
maintenance.mNonSmokerSelfIdentity.beta0.9668
maintenance.oNumberOfSmokersInSocialNetwork.beta0.0087
maintenance.oPrevalenceOfSmokingInGeographicLocality.beta0.0000
maintenance.oSEP.beta-0.1728
maintenance.oSocialHousing.beta-0.3818

W2 · design_7316 Q=25.2 (PASS) Jackson FAIL   Prev +0.00 pp

1-seed10-seedΔ
Q_STPM26.125.2 -0.9
Parameter values
alpha1.3918
attempt.bias-3.3491
attempt.cSelfEfficacy.beta0.4487
attempt.mAgeGroup30To44.beta-0.5352
attempt.mAgeGroup45To64.beta-0.1984
attempt.mAgeGroup65Plus.beta-0.1462
attempt.mEnjoymentOfSmoking.beta-0.4671
attempt.mExpenditure.beta-0.0001
attempt.mIntentionToQuit.beta0.1930
attempt.mNumberOfRecentQuitAttempts.beta0.3311
attempt.mUseOfNRT.beta0.2939
attempt.oNumberOfSmokersInSocialNetwork.beta-0.0145
attempt.oPrevalenceOfSmokingInGeographicLocality.beta0.0000
attempt.oReceiptGPAdvice.beta-0.0166
attempt.oSocialHousing.beta-0.1952
beta0.4233
lambda0.0459
maintenance.bias1.1466
maintenance.cAgeGroup30To44.beta0.5550
maintenance.cAgeGroup45To64.beta0.1305
maintenance.cAgeGroup65Plus.beta-0.0646
maintenance.cAlcoholConsumptionGroupHigherRisk.beta0.0012
maintenance.cAlcoholConsumptionGroupIncreasingRisk.beta0.3222
maintenance.cAlcoholConsumptionGroupLowerRisk.beta-0.2016
maintenance.cCigAddictStrength.beta-0.1608
maintenance.cCigConsumptionPreQuit.beta-0.0363
maintenance.cCytisineUse.beta0.4722
maintenance.cECigUse.beta0.3527
maintenance.cEducationalLevelBelowDegree.beta-0.2651
maintenance.cEducationalLevelDegreeOrHigher.beta-0.3458
maintenance.cMentalHealthCondition.beta-0.4098
maintenance.cNumberOfRecentQuitAttempts.beta-0.1294
maintenance.cPrescriptionNRT.beta0.2654
maintenance.cUseOfBehaviouralSupport.beta0.4365
maintenance.cVareniclineUse.beta0.9015
maintenance.mNonSmokerSelfIdentity.beta1.3531
maintenance.oNumberOfSmokersInSocialNetwork.beta-0.0804
maintenance.oPrevalenceOfSmokingInGeographicLocality.beta0.0000
maintenance.oSEP.beta-0.6900
maintenance.oSocialHousing.beta-0.4900

W2 · design_6781 Q=26.7 (PASS) Jackson PASS   Prev -0.00 pp

1-seed10-seedΔ
Q_STPM30.426.7 -3.7
Parameter values
alpha1.1723
attempt.bias-3.9182
attempt.cSelfEfficacy.beta0.2088
attempt.mAgeGroup30To44.beta-0.3013
attempt.mAgeGroup45To64.beta-0.1774
attempt.mAgeGroup65Plus.beta-0.3218
attempt.mEnjoymentOfSmoking.beta0.2316
attempt.mExpenditure.beta0.0011
attempt.mIntentionToQuit.beta0.1847
attempt.mNumberOfRecentQuitAttempts.beta0.2814
attempt.mUseOfNRT.beta0.3492
attempt.oNumberOfSmokersInSocialNetwork.beta-0.0181
attempt.oPrevalenceOfSmokingInGeographicLocality.beta0.0000
attempt.oReceiptGPAdvice.beta0.1955
attempt.oSocialHousing.beta-0.2562
beta0.7801
lambda0.0426
maintenance.bias0.5745
maintenance.cAgeGroup30To44.beta0.3076
maintenance.cAgeGroup45To64.beta0.1757
maintenance.cAgeGroup65Plus.beta0.1308
maintenance.cAlcoholConsumptionGroupHigherRisk.beta-0.0030
maintenance.cAlcoholConsumptionGroupIncreasingRisk.beta0.3456
maintenance.cAlcoholConsumptionGroupLowerRisk.beta0.2800
maintenance.cCigAddictStrength.beta-0.0488
maintenance.cCigConsumptionPreQuit.beta-0.0458
maintenance.cCytisineUse.beta0.4448
maintenance.cECigUse.beta0.5207
maintenance.cEducationalLevelBelowDegree.beta0.0932
maintenance.cEducationalLevelDegreeOrHigher.beta-0.0530
maintenance.cMentalHealthCondition.beta0.1526
maintenance.cNumberOfRecentQuitAttempts.beta-0.2375
maintenance.cPrescriptionNRT.beta0.3028
maintenance.cUseOfBehaviouralSupport.beta0.2798
maintenance.cVareniclineUse.beta0.5688
maintenance.mNonSmokerSelfIdentity.beta1.7705
maintenance.oNumberOfSmokersInSocialNetwork.beta-0.0481
maintenance.oPrevalenceOfSmokingInGeographicLocality.beta0.0000
maintenance.oSEP.beta-0.4142
maintenance.oSocialHousing.beta-0.6332

W2 · design_1976 Q=26.8 (PASS) Jackson PASS   Prev +0.01 pp

1-seed10-seedΔ
Q_STPM32.526.8 -5.7
Parameter values
alpha1.3611
attempt.bias-3.7091
attempt.cSelfEfficacy.beta-0.0897
attempt.mAgeGroup30To44.beta-0.1081
attempt.mAgeGroup45To64.beta-0.1340
attempt.mAgeGroup65Plus.beta-0.1711
attempt.mEnjoymentOfSmoking.beta-0.3553
attempt.mExpenditure.beta0.0002
attempt.mIntentionToQuit.beta0.2117
attempt.mNumberOfRecentQuitAttempts.beta0.3603
attempt.mUseOfNRT.beta0.1362
attempt.oNumberOfSmokersInSocialNetwork.beta-0.0357
attempt.oPrevalenceOfSmokingInGeographicLocality.beta0.0000
attempt.oReceiptGPAdvice.beta-0.0976
attempt.oSocialHousing.beta-0.0162
beta0.3713
lambda0.0263
maintenance.bias-0.1209
maintenance.cAgeGroup30To44.beta0.4154
maintenance.cAgeGroup45To64.beta0.2414
maintenance.cAgeGroup65Plus.beta0.5377
maintenance.cAlcoholConsumptionGroupHigherRisk.beta0.1745
maintenance.cAlcoholConsumptionGroupIncreasingRisk.beta0.2089
maintenance.cAlcoholConsumptionGroupLowerRisk.beta-0.1833
maintenance.cCigAddictStrength.beta-0.0599
maintenance.cCigConsumptionPreQuit.beta-0.0187
maintenance.cCytisineUse.beta0.2902
maintenance.cECigUse.beta0.6017
maintenance.cEducationalLevelBelowDegree.beta0.1648
maintenance.cEducationalLevelDegreeOrHigher.beta0.0123
maintenance.cMentalHealthCondition.beta0.0044
maintenance.cNumberOfRecentQuitAttempts.beta-0.0565
maintenance.cPrescriptionNRT.beta0.3494
maintenance.cUseOfBehaviouralSupport.beta0.3513
maintenance.cVareniclineUse.beta0.7400
maintenance.mNonSmokerSelfIdentity.beta1.6780
maintenance.oNumberOfSmokersInSocialNetwork.beta0.0088
maintenance.oPrevalenceOfSmokingInGeographicLocality.beta0.0000
maintenance.oSEP.beta-0.2441
maintenance.oSocialHousing.beta-0.4900

W2 · design_9701 Q=27.7 (PASS) Jackson PASS   Prev +0.00 pp

1-seed10-seedΔ
Q_STPM28.527.7 -0.9
Parameter values
alpha0.9080
attempt.bias-4.0759
attempt.cSelfEfficacy.beta0.3672
attempt.mAgeGroup30To44.beta-0.1975
attempt.mAgeGroup45To64.beta-0.4317
attempt.mAgeGroup65Plus.beta-0.3441
attempt.mEnjoymentOfSmoking.beta-0.2858
attempt.mExpenditure.beta0.0005
attempt.mIntentionToQuit.beta0.2207
attempt.mNumberOfRecentQuitAttempts.beta0.3545
attempt.mUseOfNRT.beta0.3990
attempt.oNumberOfSmokersInSocialNetwork.beta0.0739
attempt.oPrevalenceOfSmokingInGeographicLocality.beta0.0000
attempt.oReceiptGPAdvice.beta0.0764
attempt.oSocialHousing.beta-0.0664
beta0.6058
lambda0.0280
maintenance.bias0.9795
maintenance.cAgeGroup30To44.beta0.2639
maintenance.cAgeGroup45To64.beta0.3690
maintenance.cAgeGroup65Plus.beta0.6654
maintenance.cAlcoholConsumptionGroupHigherRisk.beta0.8242
maintenance.cAlcoholConsumptionGroupIncreasingRisk.beta0.2229
maintenance.cAlcoholConsumptionGroupLowerRisk.beta0.1052
maintenance.cCigAddictStrength.beta0.0199
maintenance.cCigConsumptionPreQuit.beta-0.0515
maintenance.cCytisineUse.beta1.1842
maintenance.cECigUse.beta0.6406
maintenance.cEducationalLevelBelowDegree.beta0.1112
maintenance.cEducationalLevelDegreeOrHigher.beta0.0302
maintenance.cMentalHealthCondition.beta-0.7255
maintenance.cNumberOfRecentQuitAttempts.beta-0.0244
maintenance.cPrescriptionNRT.beta0.3558
maintenance.cUseOfBehaviouralSupport.beta-0.0344
maintenance.cVareniclineUse.beta0.8317
maintenance.mNonSmokerSelfIdentity.beta0.6340
maintenance.oNumberOfSmokersInSocialNetwork.beta-0.0825
maintenance.oPrevalenceOfSmokingInGeographicLocality.beta0.0000
maintenance.oSEP.beta-0.1174
maintenance.oSocialHousing.beta-0.6993

W2 · design_6630 Q=27.9 (PASS) Jackson PASS   Prev -0.00 pp

1-seed10-seedΔ
Q_STPM32.627.9 -4.7
Parameter values
alpha1.5825
attempt.bias-4.1338
attempt.cSelfEfficacy.beta0.3885
attempt.mAgeGroup30To44.beta-0.1117
attempt.mAgeGroup45To64.beta-0.2110
attempt.mAgeGroup65Plus.beta-0.1597
attempt.mEnjoymentOfSmoking.beta-0.1049
attempt.mExpenditure.beta0.0008
attempt.mIntentionToQuit.beta0.1860
attempt.mNumberOfRecentQuitAttempts.beta0.2634
attempt.mUseOfNRT.beta0.3292
attempt.oNumberOfSmokersInSocialNetwork.beta-0.0371
attempt.oPrevalenceOfSmokingInGeographicLocality.beta0.0000
attempt.oReceiptGPAdvice.beta0.0618
attempt.oSocialHousing.beta0.1996
beta0.4370
lambda0.0275
maintenance.bias0.3855
maintenance.cAgeGroup30To44.beta0.4295
maintenance.cAgeGroup45To64.beta0.3503
maintenance.cAgeGroup65Plus.beta0.3539
maintenance.cAlcoholConsumptionGroupHigherRisk.beta0.0131
maintenance.cAlcoholConsumptionGroupIncreasingRisk.beta0.6121
maintenance.cAlcoholConsumptionGroupLowerRisk.beta0.0093
maintenance.cCigAddictStrength.beta-0.0548
maintenance.cCigConsumptionPreQuit.beta-0.0399
maintenance.cCytisineUse.beta1.0861
maintenance.cECigUse.beta1.1586
maintenance.cEducationalLevelBelowDegree.beta-0.2306
maintenance.cEducationalLevelDegreeOrHigher.beta0.1203
maintenance.cMentalHealthCondition.beta-0.3223
maintenance.cNumberOfRecentQuitAttempts.beta-0.0197
maintenance.cPrescriptionNRT.beta0.3261
maintenance.cUseOfBehaviouralSupport.beta0.5059
maintenance.cVareniclineUse.beta0.8617
maintenance.mNonSmokerSelfIdentity.beta1.3574
maintenance.oNumberOfSmokersInSocialNetwork.beta-0.0564
maintenance.oPrevalenceOfSmokingInGeographicLocality.beta0.0000
maintenance.oSEP.beta-0.5907
maintenance.oSocialHousing.beta-0.0649

W2 · design_0421 Q=28.0 (PASS) Jackson FAIL   Prev +0.01 pp

1-seed10-seedΔ
Q_STPM26.128.0 +1.8
Parameter values
alpha1.0522
attempt.bias-3.7076
attempt.cSelfEfficacy.beta0.4054
attempt.mAgeGroup30To44.beta-0.1451
attempt.mAgeGroup45To64.beta-0.0635
attempt.mAgeGroup65Plus.beta-0.1400
attempt.mEnjoymentOfSmoking.beta0.0063
attempt.mExpenditure.beta0.0029
attempt.mIntentionToQuit.beta0.1602
attempt.mNumberOfRecentQuitAttempts.beta0.3066
attempt.mUseOfNRT.beta0.3394
attempt.oNumberOfSmokersInSocialNetwork.beta0.0055
attempt.oPrevalenceOfSmokingInGeographicLocality.beta0.0000
attempt.oReceiptGPAdvice.beta0.2081
attempt.oSocialHousing.beta-0.0759
beta0.5773
lambda0.0432
maintenance.bias0.6215
maintenance.cAgeGroup30To44.beta0.0582
maintenance.cAgeGroup45To64.beta-0.1167
maintenance.cAgeGroup65Plus.beta0.2496
maintenance.cAlcoholConsumptionGroupHigherRisk.beta0.7442
maintenance.cAlcoholConsumptionGroupIncreasingRisk.beta0.5379
maintenance.cAlcoholConsumptionGroupLowerRisk.beta-0.0205
maintenance.cCigAddictStrength.beta0.0737
maintenance.cCigConsumptionPreQuit.beta-0.0412
maintenance.cCytisineUse.beta0.8855
maintenance.cECigUse.beta0.0148
maintenance.cEducationalLevelBelowDegree.beta0.2670
maintenance.cEducationalLevelDegreeOrHigher.beta-0.0665
maintenance.cMentalHealthCondition.beta-0.7286
maintenance.cNumberOfRecentQuitAttempts.beta-0.1132
maintenance.cPrescriptionNRT.beta0.1428
maintenance.cUseOfBehaviouralSupport.beta0.4690
maintenance.cVareniclineUse.beta0.9252
maintenance.mNonSmokerSelfIdentity.beta1.2385
maintenance.oNumberOfSmokersInSocialNetwork.beta-0.0902
maintenance.oPrevalenceOfSmokingInGeographicLocality.beta0.0000
maintenance.oSEP.beta-0.3528
maintenance.oSocialHousing.beta-0.7876

W2 · design_3461 Q=28.3 (PASS) Jackson PASS   Prev -0.00 pp

1-seed10-seedΔ
Q_STPM30.528.3 -2.2
Parameter values
alpha1.6540
attempt.bias-3.8125
attempt.cSelfEfficacy.beta0.3375
attempt.mAgeGroup30To44.beta-0.2488
attempt.mAgeGroup45To64.beta-0.1739
attempt.mAgeGroup65Plus.beta-0.0014
attempt.mEnjoymentOfSmoking.beta0.1151
attempt.mExpenditure.beta-0.0003
attempt.mIntentionToQuit.beta0.2149
attempt.mNumberOfRecentQuitAttempts.beta0.3508
attempt.mUseOfNRT.beta0.4855
attempt.oNumberOfSmokersInSocialNetwork.beta-0.0784
attempt.oPrevalenceOfSmokingInGeographicLocality.beta0.0000
attempt.oReceiptGPAdvice.beta0.1101
attempt.oSocialHousing.beta-0.1002
beta0.6139
lambda0.0389
maintenance.bias1.0261
maintenance.cAgeGroup30To44.beta0.2107
maintenance.cAgeGroup45To64.beta0.1522
maintenance.cAgeGroup65Plus.beta0.2362
maintenance.cAlcoholConsumptionGroupHigherRisk.beta0.7258
maintenance.cAlcoholConsumptionGroupIncreasingRisk.beta0.1185
maintenance.cAlcoholConsumptionGroupLowerRisk.beta0.0868
maintenance.cCigAddictStrength.beta-0.2443
maintenance.cCigConsumptionPreQuit.beta-0.0363
maintenance.cCytisineUse.beta0.8515
maintenance.cECigUse.beta0.0115
maintenance.cEducationalLevelBelowDegree.beta-0.3431
maintenance.cEducationalLevelDegreeOrHigher.beta0.0075
maintenance.cMentalHealthCondition.beta-0.5849
maintenance.cNumberOfRecentQuitAttempts.beta-0.0942
maintenance.cPrescriptionNRT.beta0.2526
maintenance.cUseOfBehaviouralSupport.beta0.3465
maintenance.cVareniclineUse.beta1.0257
maintenance.mNonSmokerSelfIdentity.beta1.6892
maintenance.oNumberOfSmokersInSocialNetwork.beta-0.0855
maintenance.oPrevalenceOfSmokingInGeographicLocality.beta0.0000
maintenance.oSEP.beta-0.3216
maintenance.oSocialHousing.beta-0.6984

W2 · design_8136 Q=29.0 (PASS) Jackson PASS   Prev -0.00 pp

1-seed10-seedΔ
Q_STPM19.529.0 +9.5
Parameter values
alpha0.9466
attempt.bias-3.9023
attempt.cSelfEfficacy.beta0.5042
attempt.mAgeGroup30To44.beta-0.3470
attempt.mAgeGroup45To64.beta-0.2246
attempt.mAgeGroup65Plus.beta-0.1647
attempt.mEnjoymentOfSmoking.beta-0.2030
attempt.mExpenditure.beta-0.0031
attempt.mIntentionToQuit.beta0.1887
attempt.mNumberOfRecentQuitAttempts.beta0.3290
attempt.mUseOfNRT.beta0.3116
attempt.oNumberOfSmokersInSocialNetwork.beta-0.0609
attempt.oPrevalenceOfSmokingInGeographicLocality.beta0.0000
attempt.oReceiptGPAdvice.beta0.0159
attempt.oSocialHousing.beta-0.0563
beta0.5325
lambda0.0337
maintenance.bias1.1259
maintenance.cAgeGroup30To44.beta0.1046
maintenance.cAgeGroup45To64.beta-0.0948
maintenance.cAgeGroup65Plus.beta0.1500
maintenance.cAlcoholConsumptionGroupHigherRisk.beta0.6890
maintenance.cAlcoholConsumptionGroupIncreasingRisk.beta-0.2552
maintenance.cAlcoholConsumptionGroupLowerRisk.beta-0.0811
maintenance.cCigAddictStrength.beta-0.1984
maintenance.cCigConsumptionPreQuit.beta-0.0163
maintenance.cCytisineUse.beta0.4709
maintenance.cECigUse.beta0.6978
maintenance.cEducationalLevelBelowDegree.beta0.1194
maintenance.cEducationalLevelDegreeOrHigher.beta0.7711
maintenance.cMentalHealthCondition.beta0.1909
maintenance.cNumberOfRecentQuitAttempts.beta-0.2598
maintenance.cPrescriptionNRT.beta0.0931
maintenance.cUseOfBehaviouralSupport.beta0.4732
maintenance.cVareniclineUse.beta0.8127
maintenance.mNonSmokerSelfIdentity.beta1.0558
maintenance.oNumberOfSmokersInSocialNetwork.beta-0.0657
maintenance.oPrevalenceOfSmokingInGeographicLocality.beta0.0000
maintenance.oSEP.beta-0.4465
maintenance.oSocialHousing.beta-0.4973

W2 · design_5905 Q=29.6 (PASS) Jackson PASS   Prev +0.01 pp

1-seed10-seedΔ
Q_STPM32.229.6 -2.6
Parameter values
alpha0.4745
attempt.bias-3.7860
attempt.cSelfEfficacy.beta-0.1407
attempt.mAgeGroup30To44.beta-0.2495
attempt.mAgeGroup45To64.beta-0.2353
attempt.mAgeGroup65Plus.beta-0.2615
attempt.mEnjoymentOfSmoking.beta-0.3577
attempt.mExpenditure.beta0.0052
attempt.mIntentionToQuit.beta0.1712
attempt.mNumberOfRecentQuitAttempts.beta0.3033
attempt.mUseOfNRT.beta0.3416
attempt.oNumberOfSmokersInSocialNetwork.beta-0.0918
attempt.oPrevalenceOfSmokingInGeographicLocality.beta0.0000
attempt.oReceiptGPAdvice.beta0.0957
attempt.oSocialHousing.beta0.0071
beta0.5752
lambda0.0295
maintenance.bias0.8316
maintenance.cAgeGroup30To44.beta0.1586
maintenance.cAgeGroup45To64.beta0.0819
maintenance.cAgeGroup65Plus.beta0.4166
maintenance.cAlcoholConsumptionGroupHigherRisk.beta0.4127
maintenance.cAlcoholConsumptionGroupIncreasingRisk.beta0.1427
maintenance.cAlcoholConsumptionGroupLowerRisk.beta-0.0430
maintenance.cCigAddictStrength.beta-0.0141
maintenance.cCigConsumptionPreQuit.beta-0.0469
maintenance.cCytisineUse.beta0.4668
maintenance.cECigUse.beta0.1109
maintenance.cEducationalLevelBelowDegree.beta0.3430
maintenance.cEducationalLevelDegreeOrHigher.beta0.6957
maintenance.cMentalHealthCondition.beta0.1141
maintenance.cNumberOfRecentQuitAttempts.beta-0.0683
maintenance.cPrescriptionNRT.beta0.1371
maintenance.cUseOfBehaviouralSupport.beta0.5459
maintenance.cVareniclineUse.beta0.4694
maintenance.mNonSmokerSelfIdentity.beta0.9832
maintenance.oNumberOfSmokersInSocialNetwork.beta-0.0577
maintenance.oPrevalenceOfSmokingInGeographicLocality.beta0.0000
maintenance.oSEP.beta-0.5150
maintenance.oSocialHousing.beta-0.5294

W2 · design_7621 Q=29.6 (PASS) Jackson PASS   Prev +0.00 pp

1-seed10-seedΔ
Q_STPM33.429.6 -3.8
Parameter values
alpha0.9960
attempt.bias-3.8386
attempt.cSelfEfficacy.beta0.4100
attempt.mAgeGroup30To44.beta-0.1346
attempt.mAgeGroup45To64.beta-0.1299
attempt.mAgeGroup65Plus.beta0.1468
attempt.mEnjoymentOfSmoking.beta0.0169
attempt.mExpenditure.beta0.0030
attempt.mIntentionToQuit.beta0.1957
attempt.mNumberOfRecentQuitAttempts.beta0.3493
attempt.mUseOfNRT.beta0.2791
attempt.oNumberOfSmokersInSocialNetwork.beta-0.0850
attempt.oPrevalenceOfSmokingInGeographicLocality.beta0.0000
attempt.oReceiptGPAdvice.beta0.1407
attempt.oSocialHousing.beta-0.0890
beta0.4883
lambda0.0425
maintenance.bias-0.0568
maintenance.cAgeGroup30To44.beta0.2665
maintenance.cAgeGroup45To64.beta0.1632
maintenance.cAgeGroup65Plus.beta0.2295
maintenance.cAlcoholConsumptionGroupHigherRisk.beta0.1129
maintenance.cAlcoholConsumptionGroupIncreasingRisk.beta0.4473
maintenance.cAlcoholConsumptionGroupLowerRisk.beta-0.0900
maintenance.cCigAddictStrength.beta-0.1544
maintenance.cCigConsumptionPreQuit.beta-0.0247
maintenance.cCytisineUse.beta0.7279
maintenance.cECigUse.beta0.5660
maintenance.cEducationalLevelBelowDegree.beta0.3283
maintenance.cEducationalLevelDegreeOrHigher.beta0.3191
maintenance.cMentalHealthCondition.beta-0.6608
maintenance.cNumberOfRecentQuitAttempts.beta-0.0243
maintenance.cPrescriptionNRT.beta0.3480
maintenance.cUseOfBehaviouralSupport.beta0.3161
maintenance.cVareniclineUse.beta0.7279
maintenance.mNonSmokerSelfIdentity.beta1.5616
maintenance.oNumberOfSmokersInSocialNetwork.beta-0.0419
maintenance.oPrevalenceOfSmokingInGeographicLocality.beta0.0000
maintenance.oSEP.beta-0.0619
maintenance.oSocialHousing.beta-0.3655

W2 · design_4213 Q=29.9 (PASS) Jackson FAIL   Prev +0.01 pp

1-seed10-seedΔ
Q_STPM34.129.9 -4.2
Parameter values
alpha1.7040
attempt.bias-3.1315
attempt.cSelfEfficacy.beta0.2858
attempt.mAgeGroup30To44.beta-0.0056
attempt.mAgeGroup45To64.beta-0.2899
attempt.mAgeGroup65Plus.beta-0.1288
attempt.mEnjoymentOfSmoking.beta0.2269
attempt.mExpenditure.beta-0.0014
attempt.mIntentionToQuit.beta0.2173
attempt.mNumberOfRecentQuitAttempts.beta0.3158
attempt.mUseOfNRT.beta0.4583
attempt.oNumberOfSmokersInSocialNetwork.beta0.0437
attempt.oPrevalenceOfSmokingInGeographicLocality.beta0.0000
attempt.oReceiptGPAdvice.beta0.0844
attempt.oSocialHousing.beta-0.1357
beta0.5773
lambda0.0290
maintenance.bias-0.2680
maintenance.cAgeGroup30To44.beta0.1244
maintenance.cAgeGroup45To64.beta0.2701
maintenance.cAgeGroup65Plus.beta0.4255
maintenance.cAlcoholConsumptionGroupHigherRisk.beta0.0546
maintenance.cAlcoholConsumptionGroupIncreasingRisk.beta0.0100
maintenance.cAlcoholConsumptionGroupLowerRisk.beta0.1076
maintenance.cCigAddictStrength.beta-0.1734
maintenance.cCigConsumptionPreQuit.beta-0.0467
maintenance.cCytisineUse.beta0.4277
maintenance.cECigUse.beta-0.5939
maintenance.cEducationalLevelBelowDegree.beta-0.2744
maintenance.cEducationalLevelDegreeOrHigher.beta0.2654
maintenance.cMentalHealthCondition.beta-0.1658
maintenance.cNumberOfRecentQuitAttempts.beta-0.0618
maintenance.cPrescriptionNRT.beta0.2137
maintenance.cUseOfBehaviouralSupport.beta0.3239
maintenance.cVareniclineUse.beta0.5846
maintenance.mNonSmokerSelfIdentity.beta2.4598
maintenance.oNumberOfSmokersInSocialNetwork.beta-0.0863
maintenance.oPrevalenceOfSmokingInGeographicLocality.beta0.0000
maintenance.oSEP.beta-0.2944
maintenance.oSocialHousing.beta-0.8800

W2 · design_3988 Q=29.9 (PASS) Jackson PASS   Prev +0.00 pp

1-seed10-seedΔ
Q_STPM33.829.9 -3.9
Parameter values
alpha0.6933
attempt.bias-3.9471
attempt.cSelfEfficacy.beta0.5017
attempt.mAgeGroup30To44.beta-0.1764
attempt.mAgeGroup45To64.beta-0.1101
attempt.mAgeGroup65Plus.beta-0.2014
attempt.mEnjoymentOfSmoking.beta-0.3228
attempt.mExpenditure.beta-0.0001
attempt.mIntentionToQuit.beta0.2165
attempt.mNumberOfRecentQuitAttempts.beta0.3200
attempt.mUseOfNRT.beta0.1680
attempt.oNumberOfSmokersInSocialNetwork.beta0.0372
attempt.oPrevalenceOfSmokingInGeographicLocality.beta0.0000
attempt.oReceiptGPAdvice.beta0.0091
attempt.oSocialHousing.beta-0.1995
beta0.5483
lambda0.0358
maintenance.bias1.0920
maintenance.cAgeGroup30To44.beta0.2936
maintenance.cAgeGroup45To64.beta0.2029
maintenance.cAgeGroup65Plus.beta0.4859
maintenance.cAlcoholConsumptionGroupHigherRisk.beta0.5360
maintenance.cAlcoholConsumptionGroupIncreasingRisk.beta0.3105
maintenance.cAlcoholConsumptionGroupLowerRisk.beta0.0090
maintenance.cCigAddictStrength.beta-0.2010
maintenance.cCigConsumptionPreQuit.beta-0.0367
maintenance.cCytisineUse.beta0.8421
maintenance.cECigUse.beta0.7799
maintenance.cEducationalLevelBelowDegree.beta0.1812
maintenance.cEducationalLevelDegreeOrHigher.beta0.6287
maintenance.cMentalHealthCondition.beta-0.1838
maintenance.cNumberOfRecentQuitAttempts.beta-0.1620
maintenance.cPrescriptionNRT.beta0.2245
maintenance.cUseOfBehaviouralSupport.beta0.3846
maintenance.cVareniclineUse.beta1.2552
maintenance.mNonSmokerSelfIdentity.beta0.2072
maintenance.oNumberOfSmokersInSocialNetwork.beta-0.0045
maintenance.oPrevalenceOfSmokingInGeographicLocality.beta0.0000
maintenance.oSEP.beta-0.0252
maintenance.oSocialHousing.beta-0.5612

W1 · design_4669 Q=31.0 (PASS) Jackson PASS   Prev +0.00 pp

1-seed10-seedΔ
Q_STPM31.831.0 -0.8
Parameter values
alpha1.1752
attempt.bias-4.2244
attempt.cSelfEfficacy.beta0.2533
attempt.mAgeGroup30To44.beta-0.0322
attempt.mAgeGroup45To64.beta-0.1440
attempt.mAgeGroup65Plus.beta-0.1535
attempt.mEnjoymentOfSmoking.beta-0.2854
attempt.mExpenditure.beta-0.0031
attempt.mIntentionToQuit.beta0.2751
attempt.mNumberOfRecentQuitAttempts.beta0.3175
attempt.mUseOfNRT.beta0.2950
attempt.oNumberOfSmokersInSocialNetwork.beta0.0269
attempt.oPrevalenceOfSmokingInGeographicLocality.beta0.0000
attempt.oReceiptGPAdvice.beta0.1720
attempt.oSocialHousing.beta-0.2704
beta0.7629
lambda0.0469
maintenance.bias0.7921
maintenance.cAgeGroup30To44.beta0.0862
maintenance.cAgeGroup45To64.beta0.4839
maintenance.cAgeGroup65Plus.beta0.5594
maintenance.cAlcoholConsumptionGroupHigherRisk.beta-0.0119
maintenance.cAlcoholConsumptionGroupIncreasingRisk.beta0.4516
maintenance.cAlcoholConsumptionGroupLowerRisk.beta-0.1531
maintenance.cCigAddictStrength.beta-0.2703
maintenance.cCigConsumptionPreQuit.beta-0.0377
maintenance.cCytisineUse.beta0.8733
maintenance.cECigUse.beta0.5063
maintenance.cEducationalLevelBelowDegree.beta0.0800
maintenance.cEducationalLevelDegreeOrHigher.beta0.0030
maintenance.cMentalHealthCondition.beta-0.0273
maintenance.cNumberOfRecentQuitAttempts.beta-0.1909
maintenance.cPrescriptionNRT.beta0.3954
maintenance.cUseOfBehaviouralSupport.beta-0.2857
maintenance.cVareniclineUse.beta0.4574
maintenance.mNonSmokerSelfIdentity.beta1.6296
maintenance.oNumberOfSmokersInSocialNetwork.beta-0.1135
maintenance.oPrevalenceOfSmokingInGeographicLocality.beta0.0000
maintenance.oSEP.beta-0.5381
maintenance.oSocialHousing.beta-0.0428

W2 · design_3318 Q=32.1 (PASS) Jackson FAIL   Prev +0.02 pp

1-seed10-seedΔ
Q_STPM26.432.1 +5.7
Parameter values
alpha1.0033
attempt.bias-3.4325
attempt.cSelfEfficacy.beta0.3909
attempt.mAgeGroup30To44.beta-0.0937
attempt.mAgeGroup45To64.beta-0.0051
attempt.mAgeGroup65Plus.beta-0.3045
attempt.mEnjoymentOfSmoking.beta-0.0235
attempt.mExpenditure.beta0.0029
attempt.mIntentionToQuit.beta0.1954
attempt.mNumberOfRecentQuitAttempts.beta0.2891
attempt.mUseOfNRT.beta0.1954
attempt.oNumberOfSmokersInSocialNetwork.beta-0.0611
attempt.oPrevalenceOfSmokingInGeographicLocality.beta0.0000
attempt.oReceiptGPAdvice.beta0.0594
attempt.oSocialHousing.beta0.1410
beta0.5117
lambda0.0179
maintenance.bias0.5618
maintenance.cAgeGroup30To44.beta0.3089
maintenance.cAgeGroup45To64.beta0.2247
maintenance.cAgeGroup65Plus.beta0.0827
maintenance.cAlcoholConsumptionGroupHigherRisk.beta0.8107
maintenance.cAlcoholConsumptionGroupIncreasingRisk.beta0.1202
maintenance.cAlcoholConsumptionGroupLowerRisk.beta-0.0706
maintenance.cCigAddictStrength.beta-0.1721
maintenance.cCigConsumptionPreQuit.beta-0.0427
maintenance.cCytisineUse.beta0.7952
maintenance.cECigUse.beta-0.4039
maintenance.cEducationalLevelBelowDegree.beta-0.0768
maintenance.cEducationalLevelDegreeOrHigher.beta-0.0896
maintenance.cMentalHealthCondition.beta-0.1825
maintenance.cNumberOfRecentQuitAttempts.beta-0.1783
maintenance.cPrescriptionNRT.beta0.0671
maintenance.cUseOfBehaviouralSupport.beta0.1293
maintenance.cVareniclineUse.beta0.9330
maintenance.mNonSmokerSelfIdentity.beta1.2070
maintenance.oNumberOfSmokersInSocialNetwork.beta-0.0157
maintenance.oPrevalenceOfSmokingInGeographicLocality.beta0.0000
maintenance.oSEP.beta-0.2193
maintenance.oSocialHousing.beta-0.4408

W2 · design_7853 Q=32.3 (PASS) Jackson FAIL   Prev +0.01 pp

1-seed10-seedΔ
Q_STPM30.732.3 +1.6
Parameter values
alpha1.3600
attempt.bias-3.8990
attempt.cSelfEfficacy.beta0.2871
attempt.mAgeGroup30To44.beta-0.1723
attempt.mAgeGroup45To64.beta-0.2449
attempt.mAgeGroup65Plus.beta-0.3083
attempt.mEnjoymentOfSmoking.beta-0.4388
attempt.mExpenditure.beta0.0019
attempt.mIntentionToQuit.beta0.2043
attempt.mNumberOfRecentQuitAttempts.beta0.2966
attempt.mUseOfNRT.beta0.3986
attempt.oNumberOfSmokersInSocialNetwork.beta0.0141
attempt.oPrevalenceOfSmokingInGeographicLocality.beta0.0000
attempt.oReceiptGPAdvice.beta0.1850
attempt.oSocialHousing.beta-0.2273
beta0.3792
lambda0.0398
maintenance.bias0.8188
maintenance.cAgeGroup30To44.beta0.4127
maintenance.cAgeGroup45To64.beta0.3881
maintenance.cAgeGroup65Plus.beta0.1624
maintenance.cAlcoholConsumptionGroupHigherRisk.beta0.9112
maintenance.cAlcoholConsumptionGroupIncreasingRisk.beta-0.3379
maintenance.cAlcoholConsumptionGroupLowerRisk.beta-0.2871
maintenance.cCigAddictStrength.beta-0.2290
maintenance.cCigConsumptionPreQuit.beta-0.0252
maintenance.cCytisineUse.beta0.6689
maintenance.cECigUse.beta0.4583
maintenance.cEducationalLevelBelowDegree.beta-0.0753
maintenance.cEducationalLevelDegreeOrHigher.beta0.1781
maintenance.cMentalHealthCondition.beta-0.4690
maintenance.cNumberOfRecentQuitAttempts.beta-0.0829
maintenance.cPrescriptionNRT.beta0.5294
maintenance.cUseOfBehaviouralSupport.beta0.2410
maintenance.cVareniclineUse.beta0.5521
maintenance.mNonSmokerSelfIdentity.beta1.1332
maintenance.oNumberOfSmokersInSocialNetwork.beta-0.0406
maintenance.oPrevalenceOfSmokingInGeographicLocality.beta0.0000
maintenance.oSEP.beta-0.4334
maintenance.oSocialHousing.beta-0.2238

W2 · design_1756 Q=32.5 (PASS) Jackson PASS   Prev -0.00 pp

1-seed10-seedΔ
Q_STPM31.032.5 +1.5
Parameter values
alpha0.6436
attempt.bias-3.8194
attempt.cSelfEfficacy.beta0.3464
attempt.mAgeGroup30To44.beta-0.3396
attempt.mAgeGroup45To64.beta-0.2141
attempt.mAgeGroup65Plus.beta-0.3360
attempt.mEnjoymentOfSmoking.beta-0.5721
attempt.mExpenditure.beta0.0027
attempt.mIntentionToQuit.beta0.1894
attempt.mNumberOfRecentQuitAttempts.beta0.3714
attempt.mUseOfNRT.beta0.3859
attempt.oNumberOfSmokersInSocialNetwork.beta0.0234
attempt.oPrevalenceOfSmokingInGeographicLocality.beta0.0000
attempt.oReceiptGPAdvice.beta0.0362
attempt.oSocialHousing.beta-0.0849
beta0.5538
lambda0.0352
maintenance.bias0.5737
maintenance.cAgeGroup30To44.beta0.4644
maintenance.cAgeGroup45To64.beta0.2687
maintenance.cAgeGroup65Plus.beta0.1850
maintenance.cAlcoholConsumptionGroupHigherRisk.beta0.3749
maintenance.cAlcoholConsumptionGroupIncreasingRisk.beta0.5536
maintenance.cAlcoholConsumptionGroupLowerRisk.beta-0.1781
maintenance.cCigAddictStrength.beta-0.1233
maintenance.cCigConsumptionPreQuit.beta-0.0257
maintenance.cCytisineUse.beta1.1263
maintenance.cECigUse.beta0.2388
maintenance.cEducationalLevelBelowDegree.beta-0.5673
maintenance.cEducationalLevelDegreeOrHigher.beta-0.3796
maintenance.cMentalHealthCondition.beta-0.0565
maintenance.cNumberOfRecentQuitAttempts.beta-0.0454
maintenance.cPrescriptionNRT.beta0.0471
maintenance.cUseOfBehaviouralSupport.beta0.2163
maintenance.cVareniclineUse.beta0.9407
maintenance.mNonSmokerSelfIdentity.beta2.1846
maintenance.oNumberOfSmokersInSocialNetwork.beta-0.0754
maintenance.oPrevalenceOfSmokingInGeographicLocality.beta0.0000
maintenance.oSEP.beta-0.0639
maintenance.oSocialHousing.beta-0.8270

W2 · design_9009 Q=33.2 (PASS) Jackson FAIL   Prev +0.02 pp

1-seed10-seedΔ
Q_STPM29.133.2 +4.1
Parameter values
alpha0.8529
attempt.bias-3.1016
attempt.cSelfEfficacy.beta0.3312
attempt.mAgeGroup30To44.beta-0.2006
attempt.mAgeGroup45To64.beta-0.0290
attempt.mAgeGroup65Plus.beta-0.0349
attempt.mEnjoymentOfSmoking.beta-0.2121
attempt.mExpenditure.beta-0.0034
attempt.mIntentionToQuit.beta0.1674
attempt.mNumberOfRecentQuitAttempts.beta0.2808
attempt.mUseOfNRT.beta0.3650
attempt.oNumberOfSmokersInSocialNetwork.beta-0.0193
attempt.oPrevalenceOfSmokingInGeographicLocality.beta0.0000
attempt.oReceiptGPAdvice.beta0.0887
attempt.oSocialHousing.beta0.0252
beta0.5810
lambda0.0366
maintenance.bias1.0302
maintenance.cAgeGroup30To44.beta0.5767
maintenance.cAgeGroup45To64.beta0.3911
maintenance.cAgeGroup65Plus.beta0.1369
maintenance.cAlcoholConsumptionGroupHigherRisk.beta0.1782
maintenance.cAlcoholConsumptionGroupIncreasingRisk.beta0.5269
maintenance.cAlcoholConsumptionGroupLowerRisk.beta0.0996
maintenance.cCigAddictStrength.beta-0.2618
maintenance.cCigConsumptionPreQuit.beta-0.0151
maintenance.cCytisineUse.beta0.6303
maintenance.cECigUse.beta0.0639
maintenance.cEducationalLevelBelowDegree.beta-0.4063
maintenance.cEducationalLevelDegreeOrHigher.beta-0.0723
maintenance.cMentalHealthCondition.beta0.1869
maintenance.cNumberOfRecentQuitAttempts.beta-0.1917
maintenance.cPrescriptionNRT.beta0.2295
maintenance.cUseOfBehaviouralSupport.beta0.0991
maintenance.cVareniclineUse.beta0.6445
maintenance.mNonSmokerSelfIdentity.beta-0.5200
maintenance.oNumberOfSmokersInSocialNetwork.beta0.0160
maintenance.oPrevalenceOfSmokingInGeographicLocality.beta0.0000
maintenance.oSEP.beta-0.3676
maintenance.oSocialHousing.beta-0.8779

W2 · design_7613 Q=33.3 (PASS) Jackson FAIL   Prev +0.01 pp

1-seed10-seedΔ
Q_STPM31.033.3 +2.3
Parameter values
alpha1.0346
attempt.bias-3.6370
attempt.cSelfEfficacy.beta0.2487
attempt.mAgeGroup30To44.beta0.1069
attempt.mAgeGroup45To64.beta-0.1988
attempt.mAgeGroup65Plus.beta-0.2080
attempt.mEnjoymentOfSmoking.beta-0.2534
attempt.mExpenditure.beta0.0039
attempt.mIntentionToQuit.beta0.1788
attempt.mNumberOfRecentQuitAttempts.beta0.2549
attempt.mUseOfNRT.beta0.3436
attempt.oNumberOfSmokersInSocialNetwork.beta0.0354
attempt.oPrevalenceOfSmokingInGeographicLocality.beta0.0000
attempt.oReceiptGPAdvice.beta0.1266
attempt.oSocialHousing.beta-0.2674
beta0.3760
lambda0.0305
maintenance.bias-0.1797
maintenance.cAgeGroup30To44.beta0.3702
maintenance.cAgeGroup45To64.beta0.4462
maintenance.cAgeGroup65Plus.beta0.1756
maintenance.cAlcoholConsumptionGroupHigherRisk.beta0.0165
maintenance.cAlcoholConsumptionGroupIncreasingRisk.beta0.7946
maintenance.cAlcoholConsumptionGroupLowerRisk.beta0.5795
maintenance.cCigAddictStrength.beta0.0153
maintenance.cCigConsumptionPreQuit.beta-0.0222
maintenance.cCytisineUse.beta1.3911
maintenance.cECigUse.beta1.4286
maintenance.cEducationalLevelBelowDegree.beta-0.3447
maintenance.cEducationalLevelDegreeOrHigher.beta0.5409
maintenance.cMentalHealthCondition.beta0.0968
maintenance.cNumberOfRecentQuitAttempts.beta-0.1378
maintenance.cPrescriptionNRT.beta0.2253
maintenance.cUseOfBehaviouralSupport.beta0.2868
maintenance.cVareniclineUse.beta0.7467
maintenance.mNonSmokerSelfIdentity.beta0.1943
maintenance.oNumberOfSmokersInSocialNetwork.beta-0.0598
maintenance.oPrevalenceOfSmokingInGeographicLocality.beta0.0000
maintenance.oSEP.beta-0.4824
maintenance.oSocialHousing.beta-0.2680

W2 · design_5872 Q=33.5 (PASS) Jackson PASS   Prev -0.00 pp

1-seed10-seedΔ
Q_STPM27.933.5 +5.6
Parameter values
alpha0.8577
attempt.bias-3.7432
attempt.cSelfEfficacy.beta0.5220
attempt.mAgeGroup30To44.beta-0.2097
attempt.mAgeGroup45To64.beta-0.3607
attempt.mAgeGroup65Plus.beta0.0573
attempt.mEnjoymentOfSmoking.beta-0.1822
attempt.mExpenditure.beta-0.0016
attempt.mIntentionToQuit.beta0.1997
attempt.mNumberOfRecentQuitAttempts.beta0.3156
attempt.mUseOfNRT.beta0.4395
attempt.oNumberOfSmokersInSocialNetwork.beta-0.0137
attempt.oPrevalenceOfSmokingInGeographicLocality.beta0.0000
attempt.oReceiptGPAdvice.beta0.0593
attempt.oSocialHousing.beta0.0053
beta0.4801
lambda0.0322
maintenance.bias0.1077
maintenance.cAgeGroup30To44.beta0.2401
maintenance.cAgeGroup45To64.beta0.3152
maintenance.cAgeGroup65Plus.beta0.0906
maintenance.cAlcoholConsumptionGroupHigherRisk.beta0.4458
maintenance.cAlcoholConsumptionGroupIncreasingRisk.beta-0.0756
maintenance.cAlcoholConsumptionGroupLowerRisk.beta0.0091
maintenance.cCigAddictStrength.beta-0.1912
maintenance.cCigConsumptionPreQuit.beta-0.0374
maintenance.cCytisineUse.beta0.2897
maintenance.cECigUse.beta0.6265
maintenance.cEducationalLevelBelowDegree.beta0.3264
maintenance.cEducationalLevelDegreeOrHigher.beta0.0467
maintenance.cMentalHealthCondition.beta-0.1548
maintenance.cNumberOfRecentQuitAttempts.beta-0.0939
maintenance.cPrescriptionNRT.beta0.3531
maintenance.cUseOfBehaviouralSupport.beta0.0397
maintenance.cVareniclineUse.beta0.7944
maintenance.mNonSmokerSelfIdentity.beta1.8132
maintenance.oNumberOfSmokersInSocialNetwork.beta-0.0710
maintenance.oPrevalenceOfSmokingInGeographicLocality.beta0.0000
maintenance.oSEP.beta-0.0199
maintenance.oSocialHousing.beta-0.4200

W2 · design_8640 Q=34.0 (PASS) Jackson PASS   Prev -0.01 pp

1-seed10-seedΔ
Q_STPM25.434.0 +8.6
Parameter values
alpha1.4886
attempt.bias-4.0349
attempt.cSelfEfficacy.beta0.1024
attempt.mAgeGroup30To44.beta-0.0275
attempt.mAgeGroup45To64.beta-0.1610
attempt.mAgeGroup65Plus.beta0.0316
attempt.mEnjoymentOfSmoking.beta0.0999
attempt.mExpenditure.beta-0.0019
attempt.mIntentionToQuit.beta0.1789
attempt.mNumberOfRecentQuitAttempts.beta0.2435
attempt.mUseOfNRT.beta0.2992
attempt.oNumberOfSmokersInSocialNetwork.beta-0.0010
attempt.oPrevalenceOfSmokingInGeographicLocality.beta0.0000
attempt.oReceiptGPAdvice.beta-0.0217
attempt.oSocialHousing.beta0.0654
beta0.6539
lambda0.0383
maintenance.bias0.3406
maintenance.cAgeGroup30To44.beta0.4023
maintenance.cAgeGroup45To64.beta0.2426
maintenance.cAgeGroup65Plus.beta0.1173
maintenance.cAlcoholConsumptionGroupHigherRisk.beta0.3400
maintenance.cAlcoholConsumptionGroupIncreasingRisk.beta0.3354
maintenance.cAlcoholConsumptionGroupLowerRisk.beta0.2513
maintenance.cCigAddictStrength.beta-0.1067
maintenance.cCigConsumptionPreQuit.beta-0.0172
maintenance.cCytisineUse.beta0.9561
maintenance.cECigUse.beta1.7383
maintenance.cEducationalLevelBelowDegree.beta-0.2098
maintenance.cEducationalLevelDegreeOrHigher.beta0.0398
maintenance.cMentalHealthCondition.beta0.1681
maintenance.cNumberOfRecentQuitAttempts.beta0.0148
maintenance.cPrescriptionNRT.beta0.3164
maintenance.cUseOfBehaviouralSupport.beta0.0383
maintenance.cVareniclineUse.beta0.6869
maintenance.mNonSmokerSelfIdentity.beta1.2804
maintenance.oNumberOfSmokersInSocialNetwork.beta-0.0570
maintenance.oPrevalenceOfSmokingInGeographicLocality.beta0.0000
maintenance.oSEP.beta-0.4075
maintenance.oSocialHousing.beta-0.6133

W1 · design_0976 Q=37.4 (FAIL) Jackson PASS   Prev +0.00 pp

1-seed10-seedΔ
Q_STPM32.037.4 +5.4
Parameter values
alpha0.5118
attempt.bias-4.1247
attempt.cSelfEfficacy.beta0.4775
attempt.mAgeGroup30To44.beta0.0365
attempt.mAgeGroup45To64.beta-0.3443
attempt.mAgeGroup65Plus.beta-0.0123
attempt.mEnjoymentOfSmoking.beta-0.3175
attempt.mExpenditure.beta-0.0015
attempt.mIntentionToQuit.beta0.1721
attempt.mNumberOfRecentQuitAttempts.beta0.3763
attempt.mUseOfNRT.beta0.4319
attempt.oNumberOfSmokersInSocialNetwork.beta0.0040
attempt.oPrevalenceOfSmokingInGeographicLocality.beta0.0000
attempt.oReceiptGPAdvice.beta-0.0573
attempt.oSocialHousing.beta-0.0245
beta0.7214
lambda0.0379
maintenance.bias1.3228
maintenance.cAgeGroup30To44.beta0.1954
maintenance.cAgeGroup45To64.beta0.5494
maintenance.cAgeGroup65Plus.beta-0.1388
maintenance.cAlcoholConsumptionGroupHigherRisk.beta0.0208
maintenance.cAlcoholConsumptionGroupIncreasingRisk.beta0.0362
maintenance.cAlcoholConsumptionGroupLowerRisk.beta-0.1756
maintenance.cCigAddictStrength.beta-0.1262
maintenance.cCigConsumptionPreQuit.beta-0.0289
maintenance.cCytisineUse.beta0.4849
maintenance.cECigUse.beta-0.6408
maintenance.cEducationalLevelBelowDegree.beta-0.2660
maintenance.cEducationalLevelDegreeOrHigher.beta0.5828
maintenance.cMentalHealthCondition.beta-0.0813
maintenance.cNumberOfRecentQuitAttempts.beta0.0886
maintenance.cPrescriptionNRT.beta0.3859
maintenance.cUseOfBehaviouralSupport.beta0.2427
maintenance.cVareniclineUse.beta1.0663
maintenance.mNonSmokerSelfIdentity.beta0.7973
maintenance.oNumberOfSmokersInSocialNetwork.beta-0.0288
maintenance.oPrevalenceOfSmokingInGeographicLocality.beta0.0000
maintenance.oSEP.beta-0.1177
maintenance.oSocialHousing.beta-0.6622

W1 · design_6840 Q=46.1 (FAIL) Jackson PASS   Prev +0.00 pp

1-seed10-seedΔ
Q_STPM26.346.1 +19.7
Parameter values
alpha1.3426
attempt.bias-3.9457
attempt.cSelfEfficacy.beta0.1838
attempt.mAgeGroup30To44.beta-0.3754
attempt.mAgeGroup45To64.beta-0.2582
attempt.mAgeGroup65Plus.beta-0.3208
attempt.mEnjoymentOfSmoking.beta-0.1698
attempt.mExpenditure.beta-0.0029
attempt.mIntentionToQuit.beta0.2106
attempt.mNumberOfRecentQuitAttempts.beta0.2250
attempt.mUseOfNRT.beta0.3556
attempt.oNumberOfSmokersInSocialNetwork.beta-0.0161
attempt.oPrevalenceOfSmokingInGeographicLocality.beta0.0000
attempt.oReceiptGPAdvice.beta0.0480
attempt.oSocialHousing.beta0.0606
beta0.5475
lambda0.0330
maintenance.bias1.1825
maintenance.cAgeGroup30To44.beta0.5704
maintenance.cAgeGroup45To64.beta0.1514
maintenance.cAgeGroup65Plus.beta0.3959
maintenance.cAlcoholConsumptionGroupHigherRisk.beta-0.1987
maintenance.cAlcoholConsumptionGroupIncreasingRisk.beta-0.2103
maintenance.cAlcoholConsumptionGroupLowerRisk.beta0.0239
maintenance.cCigAddictStrength.beta-0.3190
maintenance.cCigConsumptionPreQuit.beta-0.0374
maintenance.cCytisineUse.beta1.0740
maintenance.cECigUse.beta0.7460
maintenance.cEducationalLevelBelowDegree.beta0.2626
maintenance.cEducationalLevelDegreeOrHigher.beta0.6299
maintenance.cMentalHealthCondition.beta-0.3501
maintenance.cNumberOfRecentQuitAttempts.beta-0.0930
maintenance.cPrescriptionNRT.beta0.2187
maintenance.cUseOfBehaviouralSupport.beta0.3975
maintenance.cVareniclineUse.beta0.6768
maintenance.mNonSmokerSelfIdentity.beta1.0329
maintenance.oNumberOfSmokersInSocialNetwork.beta-0.0611
maintenance.oPrevalenceOfSmokingInGeographicLocality.beta0.0000
maintenance.oSEP.beta-0.7777
maintenance.oSocialHousing.beta-0.3978

W1 · design_9735 Q=47.2 (FAIL) Jackson PASS   Prev -0.00 pp

1-seed10-seedΔ
Q_STPM30.847.2 +16.4
Parameter values
alpha1.2014
attempt.bias-4.0046
attempt.cSelfEfficacy.beta0.1745
attempt.mAgeGroup30To44.beta-0.3363
attempt.mAgeGroup45To64.beta-0.2646
attempt.mAgeGroup65Plus.beta-0.1764
attempt.mEnjoymentOfSmoking.beta0.0184
attempt.mExpenditure.beta0.0028
attempt.mIntentionToQuit.beta0.2295
attempt.mNumberOfRecentQuitAttempts.beta0.3025
attempt.mUseOfNRT.beta0.3290
attempt.oNumberOfSmokersInSocialNetwork.beta-0.0801
attempt.oPrevalenceOfSmokingInGeographicLocality.beta0.0000
attempt.oReceiptGPAdvice.beta0.1046
attempt.oSocialHousing.beta0.2266
beta0.3848
lambda0.0470
maintenance.bias-0.2633
maintenance.cAgeGroup30To44.beta0.3609
maintenance.cAgeGroup45To64.beta0.1958
maintenance.cAgeGroup65Plus.beta0.4586
maintenance.cAlcoholConsumptionGroupHigherRisk.beta0.6367
maintenance.cAlcoholConsumptionGroupIncreasingRisk.beta0.1694
maintenance.cAlcoholConsumptionGroupLowerRisk.beta0.0481
maintenance.cCigAddictStrength.beta0.0529
maintenance.cCigConsumptionPreQuit.beta-0.0257
maintenance.cCytisineUse.beta0.4958
maintenance.cECigUse.beta0.4422
maintenance.cEducationalLevelBelowDegree.beta0.4208
maintenance.cEducationalLevelDegreeOrHigher.beta0.2650
maintenance.cMentalHealthCondition.beta-0.6526
maintenance.cNumberOfRecentQuitAttempts.beta-0.0685
maintenance.cPrescriptionNRT.beta0.2132
maintenance.cUseOfBehaviouralSupport.beta0.1511
maintenance.cVareniclineUse.beta0.7335
maintenance.mNonSmokerSelfIdentity.beta1.9987
maintenance.oNumberOfSmokersInSocialNetwork.beta-0.1532
maintenance.oPrevalenceOfSmokingInGeographicLocality.beta0.0000
maintenance.oSEP.beta-0.1609
maintenance.oSocialHousing.beta-0.3844

W1 · design_4182 Q=50.5 (FAIL) Jackson FAIL   Prev +0.02 pp

1-seed10-seedΔ
Q_STPM32.250.5 +18.3
Parameter values
alpha1.3368
attempt.bias-3.0904
attempt.cSelfEfficacy.beta0.1450
attempt.mAgeGroup30To44.beta0.0463
attempt.mAgeGroup45To64.beta-0.1157
attempt.mAgeGroup65Plus.beta-0.0856
attempt.mEnjoymentOfSmoking.beta-0.2795
attempt.mExpenditure.beta0.0016
attempt.mIntentionToQuit.beta0.1853
attempt.mNumberOfRecentQuitAttempts.beta0.2921
attempt.mUseOfNRT.beta0.2965
attempt.oNumberOfSmokersInSocialNetwork.beta0.0111
attempt.oPrevalenceOfSmokingInGeographicLocality.beta0.0000
attempt.oReceiptGPAdvice.beta0.0447
attempt.oSocialHousing.beta0.6139
beta0.4205
lambda0.0380
maintenance.bias0.2558
maintenance.cAgeGroup30To44.beta0.3390
maintenance.cAgeGroup45To64.beta0.3336
maintenance.cAgeGroup65Plus.beta-0.0714
maintenance.cAlcoholConsumptionGroupHigherRisk.beta0.2631
maintenance.cAlcoholConsumptionGroupIncreasingRisk.beta0.2017
maintenance.cAlcoholConsumptionGroupLowerRisk.beta-0.2460
maintenance.cCigAddictStrength.beta-0.2811
maintenance.cCigConsumptionPreQuit.beta-0.0181
maintenance.cCytisineUse.beta-0.1077
maintenance.cECigUse.beta0.6552
maintenance.cEducationalLevelBelowDegree.beta0.1288
maintenance.cEducationalLevelDegreeOrHigher.beta0.6129
maintenance.cMentalHealthCondition.beta-0.3097
maintenance.cNumberOfRecentQuitAttempts.beta-0.1184
maintenance.cPrescriptionNRT.beta0.2761
maintenance.cUseOfBehaviouralSupport.beta0.2772
maintenance.cVareniclineUse.beta0.5693
maintenance.mNonSmokerSelfIdentity.beta0.3256
maintenance.oNumberOfSmokersInSocialNetwork.beta-0.0900
maintenance.oPrevalenceOfSmokingInGeographicLocality.beta0.0000
maintenance.oSEP.beta-0.3032
maintenance.oSocialHousing.beta-0.5838

Generated by tools/calibration/render_nroy_deep_dive_combined.py  |  Multi-seed run: 20260706_0847